2026-01-05 11:50:16

#数字资产动态追踪 🔥 Federal Reserve Decision Next Week: Rate Cut Expectations vs. Inflation Anxiety in the Ultimate Showdown

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Attention everyone—mark your calendars—January 27-28, the moment when the Fed sends its final signals is coming. The decision will be announced in the early hours of the 29th at 3 a.m., a time that directly locks in the US stock market's closing, making it a "key moment" for the market.

**The Dilemma of Policy**

The market is betting on one thing: will Powell loosen policy this time? The situation is indeed complex. Inflation data remains high, while signals of layoffs are spreading. If they ease policy, there's concern about inflation roaring back; if they don't, there's fear of a hard landing for the economy. The division between hawks and doves within the Fed is on full display, and the White House's stance is also somewhat ambiguous—this meeting is arguably the most tangled in recent years.

**Market Scenarios**

There are rumors of a significant 125 basis point rate cut. But the real logic is often more complicated—I tend to believe they will first signal a dovish tilt, with actual rate cuts coming gradually. However, even a slight shift toward easing in wording can trigger a strong market reaction. US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin could all see liquidity-driven surges, especially in the case of Bitcoin, where market makers won't miss such opportunities.

**The Biggest Risk**

The real risk isn't so much a rate hold or hike, but rather "ambiguous statements." If Powell's language is inconsistent or his stance fluctuates, the market could become disoriented—both bulls and bears could get hammered in such a scenario.

**Practical Trading Approach**

In the next couple of days, play it safe—don't over-leverage. Expect the market to mostly range sideways. The key focus before the decision is Powell's wording regarding "inflation tolerance." If he signals acceptance of inflation above 2.5%, it’s essentially a clear shift in stance.

What’s your prediction? Will this be a "surprise" or a "shock"? Drop your thoughts in the comments!👇

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FarmToRiches

· 01-07 17:37

Powell if he doesn't loosen up, we'll have to face the consequences --- Vague statements are the worst, more uncomfortable than outright not cutting --- 125 basis points? Dream on, at most 25 --- Can't sleep at 3 a.m., watching Bitcoin take off --- Inflation is still so high, dare to cut interest rates, are you crazy? --- Range volatility has my ears calloused, isn't there any other words? --- The most exciting moments are when both bulls and bears get smashed; if you bet right, you take off --- The White House's attitude is ambiguous; translating that is just political game-playing --- This round is really complicated, might as well just flip a coin --- Wait and see the wording before acting; just reacting this time won't work

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DegenWhisperer

· 01-05 12:19

Powell, if you really dare to slam down 125 basis points, I’ll do headstands while washing my hair --- A vague stance is the most damaging, even more uncomfortable than not cutting interest rates at all --- I bet the crypto market will be rollercoastering again on the early morning of the 29th, led by the US stocks --- Honestly, it all depends on how Powell’s mouth moves—one word makes a big difference --- This week, I cut my position in half and lay low; anyway, whatever I do, I’ll get cut --- An inflation tolerance of 2.5%? Once that signal appears, Bitcoin will take off immediately --- Range-bound oscillation sounds stable, but it’s actually the easiest to get liquidated --- Waiting for the early morning of the 29th on time, it’s time to drink coffee

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HalfIsEmpty

· 01-05 12:16

Will Powell really give a straightforward answer? Hard to tell. --- 125 basis points? Too much. I bet he'll just say some ambiguous nonsense. --- At 3 a.m. on the 29th, it's destined to be another time to cut the leeks. --- Ambiguous statements are the most disgusting. I've seen too many situations where both bulls and bears are wiped out. --- I just want to know if inflation has really come down, or if it's just another cycle of ups and downs. --- Bitcoin dancing along with the Federal Reserve—that's the game rules I dislike. --- This time should be a scare, otherwise the market would have already surged. --- Better to reduce positions first and wait and see; there's no rush. --- Dovish tone sounds good, but in reality? Just an illusion. --- Range-bound oscillation? I think the bigger probability is a big bearish candle. --- Whoever predicts this accurately should go buy a lottery ticket.

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StealthDeployer

· 01-05 12:06

If Powell really loosens up, there's no suspense in Bitcoin taking off --- Ambiguous statements are the most terrifying; both bulls and bears will get hurt then --- 125 basis points? I think it's unlikely, at most a 50 basis point test --- Anyway, I have to stay up until 3 a.m. on the 29th, sleep can come later --- Inflation is still so high, printing money isn't realistic, but the economy is also dying, which is outrageous --- The worst thing about the night before the decision is this uncertainty; it's more annoying than a direct plunge --- The problem is market makers have already figured out the pattern; they start countering as soon as retail follows the trend --- Looking favorably on dovish signals, it's reasonable for gold and Bitcoin to rise together

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degenwhisperer