#我的2026第一条帖 Crypto Daily(01.05)：Bitcoin Price Under Pressure, Whale Shorting Intensifies, Mining Stocks Diverge, and Global Holdings Trends

1. Impact of Bitcoin Price Fluctuations on Related Companies' Finances
Strategy company experienced a 24% decline in Bitcoin price in Q4 2025, facing billions of dollars in losses on approximately $60 billion worth of Bitcoin assets. Its enterprise value is close to falling below the value of its Bitcoin holdings, raising market concerns about potential sales of Bitcoin. To alleviate these concerns, Strategy established cash reserves by selling common stock on December 1. The company initially projected a full-year operating loss of $7 billion to a profit of $9.5 billion, assuming Bitcoin trading prices ranged between $85,000 and $110,000.

2. Market Behavior of Whales Shorting BTC and ETH
A whale that sold 255 BTC continues to increase short positions on BTC and ETH, using 10x and 15x leverage respectively. Current holdings are 751.38 BTC and 12,909.15 ETH, with an overall unrealized loss exceeding $1.8 million.

3. 2025 Bitcoin Mining Stock Market Performance Trends
In 2025, Bitcoin mining stocks show divergence. Companies like IREN, APLD, CIFR, which have agreements with ultra-large clients, achieve annual returns over 200%. Companies like HUT and WULF, which signed HPC contracts, return over 100%. Market preferences are tied to ultra-large-scale agreements and HPC/AI-related businesses. Pure Bitcoin miners generally perform poorly, with micro miners valued under $100M hit hardest. Hash rate size is not the key factor; execution visibility and investor communication are more important. For example, CleanSpark's stock price improved due to its transition to HPC/AI business.

4. Bitfarms Exits Latin American Mining Business
After selling its Paraguay mining site, Bitfarms exited the Latin American market to focus on adjustments in other regional mining operations.

5. Global Public Company Bitcoin Holdings Dynamics
As of January 4, 2026, the top 100 publicly listed companies holding BTC collectively hold 1,090,949 BTC. In the past 7 days, five companies increased their BTC holdings: Strategy added 1,229 BTC; Metaplanet_JP added 4,279 BTC; BitdeerOfficial increased by 1.6 BTC; bitcoinhodlco increased by 1 BTC; BTCS_SA increased by 0.988 BTC.

6. Cryptocurrency Market Analysis on January 4
On January 4, the crypto market rose by 2.07%, with a total market cap of $3.2 trillion. Main drivers include inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs (inflow of $500 million on January 2), positive sentiment in Bn, and geopolitical hedging (U.S.-China tensions). Major coins performance: BTC up 2.06% to about $91,325, ETH up 1.40% to about $3,133, BNB up 1.27% to about $883, SOL up 2.62% to about $133, providing short-term support and resistance levels. Market sentiment is at 26 (fear). Total trading volume is approximately $7.6 billion. Altcoins saw gains (e.g., CVX up 31%, BONK up 28%), but derivatives markets remain cautious.

7. Robert Kiyosaki's Market Crash Prediction and Bitcoin as a Safe Haven
Author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," Robert Kiyosaki, warns of a potential historic market crash in 2026, attributed to the bursting of asset bubbles created by quantitative easing, low interest rates, and excessive debt since 2008. Kiyosaki believes Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and independence from central banks, will become an important safe haven amid declining fiat trust and inflation risks. He recommends holding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and assets like gold and silver.