ETH Breaks Through Key Resistance! Is 3160 the "Golden Pit"? Institutional Buying Frenzy + Policy Shift, Full Analysis of Future Layout

Just now, ETH once again surged above the $3200 mark! This institutional-led frenzy has rewarded many early investors handsomely. Currently, ETH is oscillating around $3230, and many are asking: "Can I still chase?" "How much of a pullback is a good entry?" Don’t worry, today we’ll reveal the latest intel + technical insights all at once!

News Highlights: Three Major Positive Factors Shake the Market, Institutions Are "Running Ahead"

1. Whales are aggressively accumulating, ETH circulation is running low

According to the latest data from CoinDesk, Bitmine Immersion bought 33,000 ETH last week, bringing total holdings to an astonishing 4.14 million ETH, accounting for 3.4% of total ETH supply! This isn’t small retail activity but institutional voting with real money. More importantly, CME crypto derivatives daily trading volume hit a record high of $120 billion in 2025, indicating traditional financial giants are accelerating their entry.

2. Regulatory landscape shifts decisively, policy benefits unleashed

• US: The Republican Party now fully controls the SEC and CFTC, with top officials being pro-crypto. This means ETF expansion and staking policy liberalization by 2026 are just a matter of time.

• Japan: Heavyweight finance minister officially supports crypto trading entering stock exchanges, opening the capital channels between Japan and Korea.

• Goldman Sachs latest report: Upgraded Coinbase’s rating to "Buy" and pointed out that "regulatory clarity will drive the next wave of institutional adoption."

3. Technical breakthroughs + AI narratives double down

Vitalik just stated: "With PeerDAS launch and zkEVM technology maturity, Ethereum will break Bitcoin-like limitations." This is not empty talk; Layer 2 solutions are truly realizing Ethereum’s vision of a "world computer." Meanwhile, the AI boom has driven a surge in computing power demand, and Ethereum’s value as a decentralized computing platform is being re-priced.

Summary: Institutions are accumulating, policies are greenlighting, and technology is laying the groundwork. ETH’s fundamentals have never been so solid!

Technical Analysis: 3160 is the Lifeline; No Trend Break, No Stop

Looking at the 4-hour chart, key data is clear:

• Resistance levels: 3390 (recent high), 3500 (psychological barrier)

• Critical support: 3160 (very important!)

• Support levels: 3060 (BOLL lower band), 2920 (strong support)

• BOLL Band: Price is near the upper band at 3230, channel opening upward, typical strong momentum

• RSI: Currently at 74, entering overbought territory, short-term pullback needed

• Volume: Continually increasing, especially with a clear surge when breaking above 3200, indicating strong capital interest

Technical Interpretation: ETH is in a clear upward channel, but with RSI overbought + BOLL upper band resistance, a pullback within 1-2 days is inevitable. 3160 is the upper boundary of the previous consolidation zone and also the 20-day moving average. As long as this level holds, the bullish trend remains unbreakable.

Trading Strategies: Two approaches, choose what suits you

Conservative (recommended):

• Wait for a pullback to the 3160-3180 zone, build positions gradually

• Stop-loss: below 3120

• First target: 3390 (7% gain)

• Second target: 3500 (10%+ gain)

Aggressive:

• Enter small positions at current 3230 (no more than 20%), but strictly set stop-loss

• Add to positions on pullback to 3180-3160, averaging down

• Take profit: partial exits above 3280, locking in gains

Position Management Rules:

4. Never go all-in! Bull markets can dip sharply; full positions can crush your confidence

5. Stop-loss is vital; no single trade should lose more than 2% of total capital

6. Build positions gradually at 3160, 3100, 3060 levels

Special Reminder: Watch out for these signals

• If within 1 hour the price drops below 3160 and doesn’t quickly recover, short-term bulls should exit temporarily

• RSI drops below 60, indicating increased correction depth; patiently wait in the 3000-3060 zone

• If after US stock market opens, volume drops below 3120, it may trigger a larger correction

Exclusive View from the Leader

ETH’s recent rally is not just hype but a resonance of institutional allocation + technological breakthroughs + policy benefits. The 3160 level is both a technical support and a cost zone for institutions to add positions, likely becoming the "Golden Pit" of this round of rally.

Short-term consolidation is inevitable, but once the trend is established, it won’t end easily. Remember: hold key levels, keep cheap chips, and let profits run.

【Important Interaction】

What’s your outlook for ETH? Share your views in the comments:

• Bullish? What support factors do you see?

• Bearish? What risks are you worried about?

• Confused? Share your entry cost, and others can help analyze!

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Risk Warning: The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile; please manage risks carefully and only invest with spare funds!

This article is based on the latest data from authoritative platforms like CoinDesk and Cointelegraph, with independent and objective viewpoints.