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US Interest Rate Expectations | Market Watch Now
January 6 .. According to the Federal Reserve Monitoring Report issued by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the markets reflect the most likely scenario for the US Federal Reserve decision:
January Meeting
▪️ Hold interest rate: 82.8% ✅
▪️ Cut by 25 basis points: 17.2%
By March Meeting (Cumulative Probabilities)
▪️ Cut by 25 basis points: 43.6%
▪️ Hold steady: 49.4%
▪️ Cut by 50 basis points: 6.9%
Markets still see holding steady as the most likely scenario in the near term, with increasing chances of gradual cuts later, and everything will depend on upcoming data (inflation, employment, and economic activity).