$BTC $ETH $XRP $PEPE

The 2025 financial game officially kicks off. Trump openly states, "The rate cut must come by 1 point, immediately!", while the Federal Reserve stubbornly defends its "policy independence" fortress. When the two sides clash, global funds hold their breath.

How hot is the issue? U.S. national debt has soared to $36 trillion, with a rapid increase of $1 trillion in just three months. Annual interest payments alone amount to $882 billion, a figure that even surpasses military spending. Rather than saying it's about the economy, it's more like playing with fire—the AI layoffs storm continues, and printing money has become the only way out.

Powell is caught in a dilemma. Cut rates? Inflation might rebound. Don't cut? Trump threatens him with "get lost," and the debt spiral could spiral out of control. The market has already made its own judgment: CME data shows an 89% chance of a rate cut in March, gold ETFs have been aggressively bought up by $3.4 billion, Bitcoin has broken through $93,000, and liquidity is seemingly on the table.

But behind the celebration, there are hidden currents. The Federal Reserve has already cut rates five times in 2024. How many cuts will there be in 2025? U.S. bond yields fluctuate up and down, overseas investors are collectively retreating, and the game of borrowing from Peter to pay Paul could end at any time. Recently, a wave of market volatility directly wiped out 920 million in liquidation, and those using leverage are now on yoga mats.

So, what does that mean?

First, don't bet on a single direction. Keep a close eye on every speech from the Fed; if the risk asset sentiment shifts, you need to exit quickly.

Second, inflation-hedging assets are more stable: both BTC and gold ETFs are at historic highs, and dual-line betting beats wandering aimlessly.

Third, leverage is poison. When volatility arrives, even the strongest technicals can't withstand it.

Now I ask you—

1. Will Powell yield to pressure? Comment with 1 to admit weakness, 2 to stand firm.

2. If there's a real big liquidity flood, how would you choose? All in Bitcoin or gold?

3. In this liquidity baptism, will the crypto world end up overstuffed or cut off?

Comment with your positions and judgments. The friend with the most likes will receive a copy of the "Rate Cut Cycle Asset Allocation Guide."