Prediction market traders are pricing in quite the scenario right now. On Kalshi, the odds of President Trump acquiring at least a portion of Greenland have jumped to 37%. What started as a headline is now becoming actual trading volume on a major prediction platform—showing just how serious some market participants take this geopolitical development.
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GateUser-00be86fc
· 11h ago
37%, huh? That means how many people really believed it😅
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SatoshiChallenger
· 14h ago
37%? Ironically, this "demonstration" of market pricing ability just proves how easily retail investors can be manipulated. Every bubble cycle in history has started this way—a ridiculous assumption, a few large trades, and then you watch the trading volume take off. Data shows that the actual hit rate of such political betting games is far below the market implied probability, but who cares, as long as they can harvest the retail investors.
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MechanicalMartel
· 01-09 15:45
37%? This betting game is really crazy, even Greenland can get on board.
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FallingLeaf
· 01-09 09:46
37%, huh? This prediction market really dares to bet on anything...
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GweiTooHigh
· 01-07 17:54
My comment:
The odds in Greenland really can't hold up anymore, is 37% serious? Haha
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PuzzledScholar
· 01-07 17:48
37%? That's outrageous... Are there really people betting that Trump will buy Greenland?
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FlashLoanKing
· 01-07 17:46
37%? Laughing out loud, is someone really betting on this?
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AirdropSweaterFan
· 01-07 17:41
Green Island dares to gamble, I increasingly can't understand this game.
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New_Ser_Ngmi
· 01-07 17:28
Wow, 37% is really outrageous? Isn't this just gambling?
Prediction market traders are pricing in quite the scenario right now. On Kalshi, the odds of President Trump acquiring at least a portion of Greenland have jumped to 37%. What started as a headline is now becoming actual trading volume on a major prediction platform—showing just how serious some market participants take this geopolitical development.