2026-01-07 22:21:12

Trading for a long time will make you understand a truth: so-called advancement is nothing more than learning to follow the rhythm of the main capital flow.

I initially also got caught up in a pile of indicators, thinking that thoroughly mastering technical analysis would lead to victory. But I found that in the face of big trends, all those complicated routines are just a waste of effort.

In real market conditions, there’s no room for retail traders. You may be fooled countless times on minute or hourly charts, but the direction shown by monthly and weekly charts reflects the true flow of big funds. Those who go against this trend are mostly washed out in the end.

Good market conditions come from holding onto positions on higher timeframes. By enlarging the time scale, market noise automatically disappears, and your mindset stabilizes. You don’t need to count every candle; just confirm whether the direction is right, and let time do the rest.

If the big trend hasn’t changed, minor dips on lower timeframes can be entry points. Be decisive with stop-losses; if you can’t see the pattern clearly, wait and observe. The beauty of this trading approach is its large tolerance for error, allowing you to use small losses to test the true direction.

Many people get wiped out not because they see the wrong direction, but because they are driven by emotions—buying high and bottom-fishing repeatedly, essentially fighting against the market. The traders who truly survive are those who find a logical line and stick to it, patiently waiting rather than frequently wavering.

The market doesn’t care about your judgment. The core of trading is to capture the market’s momentum, confirm its existence, and then let it carry your order along.

As you increasingly understand the power of trends, trading becomes simpler. Abandon the temptation of short-term fluctuations, don’t get caught up in details, be patient and ready to enter, cut losses decisively when needed, and profits will come naturally. In the end, technical analysis will regress to the simplest form; only those who truly respect the trend will remain.

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MetaMisfit

· 01-10 18:55

Basically, don't fight the trend; going with the flow is the only way to survive. Monthly and weekly charts are the real gold, while minute charts are just there to cut your profits. Traders driven by emotions are just giving money to the big players, which is quite painful to admit. Nine out of ten margin calls happen because of a mental breakdown, not because of a wrong direction. Waiting is much harder than trading; most people can't do it. Find the logical line and stick to it—there's nothing wrong with that, but executing it is extremely difficult. Trying small amounts for trial and error indeed allows more room for mistakes, but the problem is most people simply can't stop. The power of the trend is indeed a hundred times more reliable than technical indicators. Simplify trading, complicate thinking—those who do the opposite are gone. True experts are waiting, while retail traders are swinging wildly.

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SmartMoneyWallet

· 01-10 13:23

In plain terms, on-chain data is the real truth; your technical indicators are just self-deception. --- Monthly and weekly charts? Ha, the whale’s chip distribution has been there for a long time. Check the on-chain liquidity. --- I've seen many retail investors driven by emotions. In the game of capital battles, they have no say at all. --- So-called following the main force, it's more like being manipulated by the main force. Old trading tricks, while retail investors are still studying candlestick patterns. --- Wait, there's a problem with this logic—how is it possible to have such a large margin of error? Capital management? Or just relying on luck to bet on the direction? --- Real traders have long understood the flow of funds. What are you still discussing about stop-loss mentality? --- This explanation sounds comfortable, but the on-chain data I see is not quite the same as what you're saying. --- No matter how powerful the trend is, it can't surpass the rhythm of large capital outflows. Don’t be brainwashed.

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MoonBoi42

· 01-09 22:14

Basically, don't fucking mess around. In the face of trends, all technical indicators are useless. I was also awakened after being tortured by MACD. Now I focus on the long-term cycle, and all other noise can go to hell. The key is mindset. Many people just can't break the bad habit of frequent trading, and in the end, they get trapped and wiped out. --- Weekly charts are the real gods; minute charts are just playgrounds for big players. Once you go up, you'll be eaten. --- Exactly right, but execution is the hard part. There are very few people in the market who can resist not trading. --- I just want to ask, how to judge that the main trend hasn't changed? Sometimes it looks steady, but then reverses. --- Tight stop-losses really help you survive longer. Only after your account blows up do you understand this truth. --- Probably a classic survivor bias. The traders who actually died don't have the chance to share their experiences here.

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staking_gramps

· 01-07 22:50

Listen, in the face of monthly charts, all technical analysis is just talk; it all depends on whether you can survive and hold on. Exactly, it's just the execution that's difficult, brother. Really, if you can't get past your emotions, even the best logic is useless. It's a bit reasonable, but I still can't change my habit of frequent trading haha. Wait, isn't that just going with the trend? Why do I feel like I'm always trading against it? That hit me hard. Only when I get margin called do I realize I was never calm enough. This set of theories sounds simple, but why is it so hard to implement? Honestly, it's still a matter of human nature. No matter how clear the market rhythm is, without discipline, it's all in vain.

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DaoDeveloper

· 01-07 22:50

ngl this reads like the classic "follow whale momentum" playbook... but here's the thing – on-chain, we can actually *verify* this with merkle proofs and tx flow analysis instead of guessing at candles. the game theory checks out tho.

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AirdropSkeptic

· 01-07 22:45

That's right, sticking to one direction and not overtrading—nothing is more meaningless than the monthly chart. I used to be tortured by the minute chart as well, but now that I see the weekly chart clearly, I can just lie down—it's more effective than any indicator. Technical analysis, to put it simply, is just a way to find comfort for yourself. In the end, those who survive are the ones with stable mindsets. Frequent trading is really the grave of retail investors. I've seen many people blow up just because they couldn't resist entering and exiting too often. I agree with this logic, but I feel that 99% of people simply can't do it; the psychological barrier is too tough.

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WalletWhisperer

· 01-07 22:43

That's a great point, I especially agree with the phrase "being emotionally hijacked"... So many people die because of this, even though the direction is correct, they just can't resist frequent trading. Cutting losses decisively is really a watershed moment; many people talk about it but can't bring themselves to act.

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 01-07 22:34

To be honest, I've already figured out the monthly and weekly charts, but the key is that most people simply can't hold on until that day. The biggest enemy of retail investors is their own fingers. Being emotionally hijacked hits home—I’m the kind of fool who swings between being fully in and completely out. Those who see the trend clearly do make money, but finding the right trend is easier said than done. Decisive stop-losses have been preached a thousand times, but I just can't seem to follow through, brother.

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NeverPresent

· 01-07 22:27

That's right, in the end, that's how it is. No matter how fancy the indicators are, they are useless. Haha, I also spent a long time being tortured by the monthly and weekly charts before I understood. Short-term fluctuations are not worth fussing over. Exactly, those who can come out alive are the ones who can endure loneliness. Once emotions take over, it's all over. This hits the point perfectly. People who cut losses decisively tend to live the longest. It's easy to say, but many people still can't break the habit of frequent trading when it comes to execution. Waiting truly makes more money than prediction. This account of mine is a lesson learned from such relentless tinkering.

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Layer2Observer

· 01-07 22:21

This set of words sounds very reasonable, but let me look at it from a different perspective—those retail investors who can truly stay in sync with the "main force rhythm" are essentially survivors' bias. According to data, most people are already out of the game before they even find that "logical line."

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