The one-hour chart shows a clearer picture — the bearish engulfing pattern after a spike and pullback has broken the previous upward trend of continuous rebounds. Currently, the short-term trend has shifted from bullish to bearish, entering a phase of oscillation and correction.



The KDJ indicator is interesting; the three lines are showing obvious signs of turning downward, a typical short-term correction signal. The indicator is overbought and forming a divergence with the price, indicating that the bullish momentum has been somewhat exhausted, and the bears are starting to take over. Both the 15-minute and 1-hour charts show that the gold price is undergoing oscillation and correction, with the 4500 level still being a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. However, after the positive impact of the ADP data materializes, the probability of a bullish rebound has indeed increased.

Based on this judgment, my approach is:

For short positions, consider a small position on a rebound to the 4470-4475 range, with a stop-loss at 4480, and target the 4460-4455 level.

If going long, a small position can be attempted on a pullback and stabilization around 4445-4440, with a stop-loss at 4435, and a target of 4465-4470.

The key is whether the 4500 level can hold, as it will determine the subsequent trend direction.
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NotFinancialAdvicevip
· 19h ago
The 4500 level is really tense right now; whether the bears can truly take control depends on this.
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MoonMathMagicvip
· 01-09 22:41
The 4500 level is really a life-and-death line; if broken, you have to run.
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SelfCustodyIssuesvip
· 01-08 22:50
As long as 4500 isn't broken, the bulls still have a chance; if it's broken, then indeed, it's time to run.
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AirdropHunter420vip
· 01-07 23:53
It is indeed crucial to hold the key levels at 4500; otherwise, you'll be mixing with the bears.
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MetaverseLandladyvip
· 01-07 23:52
The 4500 level is really stuck, and it feels like the bulls are still a bit weak.
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GasWaster69vip
· 01-07 23:46
The 4500 level is indeed a hurdle; it seems like it will be tested repeatedly.
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ImpermanentPhilosophervip
· 01-07 23:46
If this 4500 hurdle is truly broken, bears will become dominant. However, ADP suddenly causing trouble is a bit annoying.
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MonkeySeeMonkeyDovip
· 01-07 23:35
The 4500 threshold is indeed crucial. If you can't break through it, you'll have to admit defeat.
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