Today's Trading Recommendations:

Core Idea: The short-term market is in a "weakness led by a bear trend," with macro bearish factors (delayed rate cuts, significant ETF fund outflows) being factual. The rebound is a technical correction, not a short-term trend reversal. The main task is "observation" and "trial and error," not "profit-making."

Operational Strategy (before Non-Farm Payroll, until 21:30)

Position size must be ≤5%, only for testing, not for main positions.

BTC: If it reaches the 90,800-90,500 range, try a small long position, with a stop loss below 90,200; if it rebounds to 91,700-92,000 and shows stagnation, try a small short position. Abandon if not at these levels.

ETH: Same logic as BTC. Key support at 3,000-3,300, key resistance at 3,160-3,190.

Dynamic response after data release (21:30-22:30)

Never chase the first wave of buying or selling; wait for market sentiment to be released.

If the data is strong (bearish): wait for signs of stagnation during the rebound, then take a small short position accordingly.

If the data is weak (bullish): strictly avoid chasing highs; wait for the price to retrace and stabilize before considering a small long position.

If the data is ambiguous (high volatility): the best action is to do nothing, observe until the direction becomes clear.

Final reminder: Patience in waiting for data to give a direction is the lowest-cost, highest-probability strategy.
‍#我的2026第一条帖
‍#2026行情预测
$BTC $ETH