Many people ask, should we still hold on in the crypto world now? To be honest, the difficulty of this round of market is far beyond imagination.

Since November 21, 2025, I have believed this is a mid-term bottom. Over the past two months, this judgment has never wavered—the target is for Bitcoin to return to the upper band of the 5-day K-line channel. Unlike some analysts who are optimistic when prices rise and start over when they fall, deleting posts back and forth on Weibo, only the correct prediction remains in the end.

Sticking to a correct big direction, what is the use of it?

**First, there is a chance to get out of trouble.** Whether it’s bottom-fishing Bitcoin or Ethereum, as long as the direction is correct, even if you are caught in the short term, there is a possibility of turning around. Don’t underestimate this—90% of people in the crypto circle are forced to hold against their positions; avoiding losses is more important than making money. Keeping your life and your principal safe—that’s victory.

**Second, avoid the pit of liquidation.** Some believe in the words "rebound then reset," and end up being swept out at the bottom by bears, owing a huge debt. But if you wait for the rebound to reach the upper band of the 5-day K-line channel before shorting, not only can you make money, but you can also survive to see the profits realized.

The problem is, the market nature in crypto is different from A-shares. Other markets are a one-way rise, but the crypto market is a rebound and oscillation—what does this mean? Even if you get a good long position, you will go through countless rollercoaster-like corrections. Constantly watching the charts, tortured by the market.

Wave structures are too complex, and the rhythm is not standard. When it rises, it’s only for a short period, and it just happens to coincide with your deep sleep at night. Most of the time is spent oscillating, and you simply can’t react in time. That’s why, in pure spot trading, sticking to capital preservation in the crypto world is actually quite difficult.

If you really want to make money in this kind of market, what is the simplest and most brutal method? Wait until Bitcoin rebounds to the upper band of the 5-day K-line channel, then rises to the upper band of the weekly channel, and go all-in short globally. This approach is highly efficient and yields twice the result with half the effort.

The time window is this week or next week.