The market indeed moved as expected—after breaking the downward trendline, it experienced consolidation, followed by a rally. This rhythm basically aligns with technical logic.
Regarding previous trades: long positions have been taken profit at reasonable levels, and short positions encountered a false breakout at 90100, resulting in a small loss of 800 points, which was promptly cut. The current situation is clear—there's no attractive entry point in a bullish trend, so patience is still required.
The only approach now is to position for short opportunities at higher levels, divided into two directions: left and right.
For the left side short positions, there are two possible points of action. The first is in the range of 972-992-1012; I personally will start testing from 992, with targets all beginning with 7. This is a trend trade, requiring a certain risk tolerance. The second is near 105-107, involving a weekly head and shoulders top structure, which can serve as an alternative after the initial stop loss.
For the right side short positions, wait for the structure to complete. Specifically, observe whether the pullback can hold around 94 and then rally again; only when a second decline occurs and effectively breaks below 94 will be a true entry opportunity.
Summary: The current bullish momentum is no longer attractive; the key is to be patient and wait for a clearer shorting opportunity.
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BoredRiceBall
· 01-14 01:21
It looks like another fake breakout trick; the lesson from 800 points isn't a big deal.
Now I have to wait in vain again; this market really isn't interesting.
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MevHunter
· 01-14 01:19
Well, that 992 part does have some potential, but I still want to see if 94 can hold up first.
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SmartContractDiver
· 01-14 01:13
Trying 992 is a bit aggressive; I still want to see if 94 can hold up before making a move.
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RugPullAlarm
· 01-14 01:08
Looking at this logic, the part where it falsely breaks below 90100 and loses 800 points really explains the issue well. Where the funds are accumulating at key levels is what truly matters. The head and shoulders pattern around 92, we need to analyze on-chain data to see how the large addresses are operating, so we don't get caught in another trap later.
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SneakyFlashloan
· 01-14 01:04
That 992 level is quite interesting; now it's just a matter of whether we can hold the 94. It feels like we'll have to wait a long time.
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ParallelChainMaxi
· 01-14 01:04
It's the same old waiting game, tired of playing.
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Trying at 992 seems risky; it depends on volume and momentum.
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Short positions are indeed more attractive than longs, but I'm worried it might just be another cycle of back and forth.
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This wave has good rhythm, but the real test is still ahead.
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Patience is the hardest to endure; it feels like I'm waiting every day.
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The head and shoulders top definitely deserves attention; weekly charts are more reliable.
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I agree that longs are not attractive right now; this price level is indeed awkward.
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If the 94 level can't hold, then right-side shorts will be the real opportunity.
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Trend trades are risky; with my small capital, it's better to play it safe.
#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 January 14 Morning Market Analysis
The market indeed moved as expected—after breaking the downward trendline, it experienced consolidation, followed by a rally. This rhythm basically aligns with technical logic.
Regarding previous trades: long positions have been taken profit at reasonable levels, and short positions encountered a false breakout at 90100, resulting in a small loss of 800 points, which was promptly cut. The current situation is clear—there's no attractive entry point in a bullish trend, so patience is still required.
The only approach now is to position for short opportunities at higher levels, divided into two directions: left and right.
For the left side short positions, there are two possible points of action. The first is in the range of 972-992-1012; I personally will start testing from 992, with targets all beginning with 7. This is a trend trade, requiring a certain risk tolerance. The second is near 105-107, involving a weekly head and shoulders top structure, which can serve as an alternative after the initial stop loss.
For the right side short positions, wait for the structure to complete. Specifically, observe whether the pullback can hold around 94 and then rally again; only when a second decline occurs and effectively breaks below 94 will be a true entry opportunity.
Summary: The current bullish momentum is no longer attractive; the key is to be patient and wait for a clearer shorting opportunity.