2026-01-14 01:23:21

Looking at this market with a bullish perspective, I started sharing my views on the platform around the 85 level, encouraging everyone to seize the rebound opportunity. Someone asked how much more it could fall; my view is this: even if Bitcoin really drops below 80, the downside is only about 5,000 points. But what if you choose to go long? The market's upward potential has no ceiling.

It’s a bit bitter to say, but earlier I held two small-cap coins, and I still couldn’t avoid this round of market shakeout. I entered a short position on River at $16, which rose to $23, with a significant unrealized profit. Then I switched to a long on Beat, opening at 1.5, but it fell all the way to 0.3. These trades definitely weren’t well executed. I later realized that contract trading tests not only analysis skills but also discipline in execution. Even with correct views, the risk of liquidation can’t be stopped.

Now, market sentiment is gradually warming up, and I think the focus should be on mainstream coins first. Bitcoin has already risen quite enough in this wave, but Solana hasn’t shown such strong performance yet. From a technical rebound perspective, SOL is very likely to have a noticeable upward move this time. At least from both fundamental and technical angles, reaching the $300 price range is possible.

Besides mainstream coins, the anonymous coin sector is also worth paying attention to. Monero, as a leading privacy coin, has already had a round of performance, and I believe Dash will follow with some gains.

And for Meme coins, popular tokens related to Dogecoin and Frog can also be added to the watchlist.

The logic behind this round of market movement is quite interesting: the market is giving the players of the previous hot small-cap coins a chance to be rescued. Only when these funds are released will off-market incremental capital be willing to enter. When off-market funds come in, it will stimulate retail traders’ FOMO and bottom-fishing enthusiasm, ultimately boosting market popularity. Once this cycle starts, retail participation will increase significantly.

$BTC’s trend remains worth close monitoring.

BTC2,97%

BEAT12%

SOL2,69%

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NoStopLossNut

· 4h ago

Liquidation is the best teacher, now I believe it. Beat dropped from 1.5 to 0.3, that feeling is really intense. The expectation for SOL's follow-up rally is good, does 300 really have a chance? Contract discipline is more important than analysis, that hits home. Dash's upward movement indeed looks promising. This logical explanation is quite clear, but it's easy to get caught up in execution. Once retail investors start buying the dip passionately, they can't stop, history repeats itself. This wave of BTC's rise has already been quite fierce; it's time for other coins to breathe. I'm optimistic about SOL's follow-up rally, but stop-losses are still necessary. Missed out on that wave of River, a bit of a regret.

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SilentAlpha

· 4h ago

The nightmare of liquidation, luckily this rebound came in time. I'm also optimistic about SOL's catch-up, just not sure if it can really hit 300. Discipline is easy to talk about but really hard to practice, but your analysis logic this time is still clear. Small altcoins rescue retail investors, then introduce incremental funds? Feels a bit idealistic. River from 16 to 23, and you didn't run? That takes a lot of mental resilience. I'm optimistic about SOL this time, Bitcoin's rise has definitely made some people a bit timid. Are people still paying attention to anonymous coins? Feels like the hype is dying down. Futures trading is truly a thin line between heaven and hell, your lesson has already been deep enough. $BTC breaking 80 would really be exciting, but according to what you said, there's not much room left. That's just how small altcoins are, dodging a round of shakeout is considered successful.

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Degentleman

· 4h ago

Contract discipline, now that's the hardest part. Having the right perspective is useless if you don't have discipline. I agree with the logic of SOL's rebound, but can it really reach 300? That's a bit uncertain. It's the same old narrative of small coins saving the market. Every round they say that, and look at the result... You didn't catch the move from 16 to 23 on River, which is just outrageous. I'm still cautious about Meme coins; it's too easy to get cut. This wave of BTC has been quite sufficient. Wait for a pullback before re-entering. Discipline is more valuable than predictions. You've finally realized that this time. I'm still optimistic about SOL; the technical support is indeed there. Recently, the anonymous coin sector hasn't been very hot. Dash? Feels like it's cooled off. Go long, not short—keep it simple and live boldly.

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MEVHunterBearish

· 4h ago

Oh no, this wave indeed involved some operational mistakes. I'm also waiting for SOL to rebound to the 300 price level. That River order really didn't have a stop-loss, brother. The anonymous coin sector is quite interesting; the probability of Dash catching up is still pretty high. This logic is sound, but retail investors always react too late. My question is, do I still dare to trade contracts now? BTC's recent rally has already been quite overextended. The water in Meme coins is too deep; it's better to stay on the sidelines. I've already stepped into the pitfalls of small-cap coins and won't touch them again. It's easy to say, but sticking to discipline in execution is really difficult. If SOL really hits 300, I'll go all in for a bottom-fishing.

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ConsensusBot

· 5h ago

Alright, here we go again with the familiar routine: small coins bloodbath, mainstream coins catching up, retail investors taking the hit... It's a cycle. --- Basically, it's about poor discipline execution; contracts are too much of a test of human nature. --- SOL 300? Bro, I have to question your judgment. BTC has already surged so hard, is there still room for this kind of catch-up? --- River 16 rising to 23, then turning around and Beat 1.5 dropping to 0.3... The stark contrast is really heartbreaking, no wonder people are emotional. --- The anonymous coin sector is back again. Dash following the trend? Feels like someone’s hyping this every round. No wonder it’s getting hot. --- Your logical chain is quite elegant: small investors release → incremental entry → bottom-fishing enthusiasm... That’s the ideal scenario, but what about reality? --- Still watching BTC? That’s in the past now. Who should we be paying attention to for the next move? --- Meme coins, Dogecoin... Isn’t this just gambling? No matter how well you package it, the essence doesn’t change. --- Discipline in execution, huh? I need to remember this phrase; it hits harder than any technical analysis. --- Reaching the 300 price level is possible, but at what cost? Whose stop-loss is that? Have you calculated it?

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