#美国贸易赤字状况 Silver prices surged after hitting a high but then fell into a stalemate. What’s the outlook for the future?

The US December CPI data came in as expected, with core CPI unexpectedly easing. The market is now pondering whether the Federal Reserve will really loosen its stance. Coupled with Trump’s continuous strategic moves and central banks around the world still competing to hoard gold, this round of safe-haven buying pushed silver sharply higher. However, hot money flows in and out quickly, and profit-taking has already started at key levels. The current market has clearly entered a difficult oscillation zone with no clear direction.

From a technical perspective, the situation still looks decent. On the four-hour chart, silver hit the upper Bollinger Band and then cooled off, but the MACD histogram is still gaining momentum, indicating the bulls’ fuel tank isn’t completely empty; the hourly KDJ has turned upward, signaling a clear short-term rebound; on the five-minute chart, after testing the support at 87.6 and stabilizing, the correction space is quite limited. Overall, the pattern remains bullish.

The trading strategy is straightforward: consider buying on dips to the 87.5-88 range, with the first target at 89, and then aiming higher at 91. Conversely, if it rebounds and breaks through 89 to push higher, don’t be greedy—lightly short it, first see if 88.5 can hold. If it breaks, target 87.8-88 for a retreat, with the previous low of 86-86.5 as a fallback in the worst case.