#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 MSTR closed Tuesday with a strong gain of 6.63%, and BTC surged to 96,800 in the early trading session. From the chart pattern, this kind of structure usually does not complete a Fibonacci retracement in the morning—it's common for the price to consolidate sideways at high levels first, which is a normal move in a strong trend. The actual retracement is more likely to occur in the afternoon.

Today's strategy is quite clear: focus only on long retracements, and avoid short positions for now. Why? It's straightforward—currently, the risk-reward ratio for shorts is heavily compressed, and the larger-scale upward trend hasn't fully played out yet. It was mentioned two days ago that a weekly-level rebound is underway. If BTC really wants to short, it should wait until the structure signals at levels like 98,800–101,300. Acting now would be too hasty.

The key level to watch today is 95,000. As long as the retracement doesn't break below this level and you still hold positions, you can add another position with double the size. Take profit strictly within the 95,750–96,800 range, where 96,800 is the recent 24-hour high. Don't be greedy on the first touch.

Friends who have already closed their positions or prefer a more conservative style can patiently wait for a standard retracement confirmation. This move has pulled over 5,000 points from the low, and the retracement of 2,000–2,500 points is already a solid and healthy correction.

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