#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 Yesterday, MSTR performed quite well, closing up 6.63%, which also drove BTC to quickly surge to around 96800 in the early trading session. From the candlestick structure, this kind of strong movement usually does not directly retrace to Fibonacci levels; high-level areas are more likely to consolidate sideways first before the next round of correction—which is a normal part of the bull market rhythm. The actual retracement and adjustment are most likely to occur in the afternoon.

The trading strategy is actually quite clear: only go long on retracements, and temporarily avoid short positions. The reasoning is straightforward—currently, the risk-reward ratio for shorts has been severely compressed, and the major upward wave on the larger cycle is not finished yet. I mentioned a couple of days ago that the weekly-level rebound is underway. If you really want to short BTC, you need to wait until a clear structure appears in the 98800–101300 range, rather than rushing to short at the current level.

Today, just keep an eye on the 95000 level. As long as the price retraces to this zone without breaking below, and you still hold positions, you can directly double your holdings. Take profit between 95750–96800, with 96800 being the highest point in the past 24 hours. Don’t be too greedy on the first touch. If you are already out of the market or have a more conservative risk appetite, wait for a complete retracement confirmation before acting—no need to rush.

This round has pulled over 5000 points from the low, and now the correction of 2000–2500 points from a technical perspective is already a very standard and healthy adjustment, with nothing abnormal. $BTC $ETH $BNB