【Bull Market Second Half】BTC Breaks 95,000, Ethereum "Rebound" Horn Blows: Fibonacci Full Analysis and Practical Strategies

The core drivers behind this round of rally are mainly the following three points, which also form the basis of our confidence in going long on ETH:
1. Institutional-level liquidity: Continuous massive inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have established the tone of an "institutional bull."
2. Market expectations for future regulatory environment improvements are extremely strong, with cryptocurrencies shifting from "marginal assets" to "reserve assets."
3. Ethereum rebound logic: The ETH/BTC exchange rate has formed a solid double bottom around 0.034. As BTC enters a high-volatility phase, profit-taking funds are flowing into ETH, with significant room for a rebound, targeting 3,500 USDT.

Technical Deep Analysis:
From daily and 4-hour charts, ETH has broken out of the consolidation box with increased volume and is currently in a strong unilateral upward channel.
1. Fibonacci retracement reference (based on recent low of 2,773 to high of 3,380):
• 0.236 (3,237): Strong support rebound, if retested without breaking, it is an excellent short-term entry point.
• 0.382 (3,148): Key boundary for healthy correction.
2. Core support and resistance levels:
• Strong resistance: 3,480 - 3,500 (psychological threshold & daily upper rail resistance)
• Near-term resistance: 3,380 (today’s local high)
• Near-term support: 3,250 (1-hour Bollinger middle band)
• Strong support: 3,080 (Fibonacci 0.5 & previous dense chip area)

Trading Plan:
🔹 Long entries (trend-following):
• Aggressive: 3,260 - 3,280 USDT (buy on dip at 1-hour middle band)
• Conservative: 3,150 USDT (place orders here if deep correction occurs)
• Stop-loss: 3,070 USDT (break below 0.5 retracement, market weakens)
🔸 Short entries (left-side game):
• Play zone: 3,380 - 3,420 USDT (near previous high resistance, attempt when BTC stalls)
• Stop-loss: 3,450 USDT (if it stabilizes above previous high, immediately exit short positions)

Currently, the market is in a "long-only" strong atmosphere, and any sharp decline is an opportunity to get on board. As long as BTC stays above 93,500, breaking 3,500 for ETH is only a matter of time. Remember: control your position size, do not go all-in blindly!
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