Year-end review, one of the most important conclusions: trading must avoid stubbornly holding on.

Currently, the market is heavily influenced by control sentiment, with trends deviating from normal logic multiple times, and emotional driving is obvious. There is a significant possibility of a trend reversal and decline in the future. Of course, all judgments at this stage still need to be validated by the market.
From a macro rhythm perspective, the January interest rate cut window is approaching. Based on historical trend characteristics, it often shows a structure of “expectation phase being relatively strong, then falling back after implementation.” If this rhythm is projected forward, there is a possibility that Bitcoin may retrace to around 80,000.
In contract trading, the most taboo thing is to stubbornly hold on with “headstrong” resistance. **Following the trend and adjusting in time are the core to long-term sustainability.** The previously maintained high-level shorting strategy has also received phased feedback from the market.
Based on the current situation, combined with expectations of rate cuts and current market sentiment, the probability of a large-scale upward surge in the short term is limited. Instead, there is a greater need to be alert to a deep structural correction.
From a technical perspective, the 98,000 level faces obvious resistance, and short-term breakthroughs are difficult; once the 94,300 level is lost, the market is likely to further decline toward the 91,800 region. The overall approach remains mainly bearish, with the rhythm unchanged.
Pay attention to resistance around 96,000 / 96,800 levels.
Near 97,800 as a structural supplement level, with a defensive reference at 98,300.
Target focus on the 92,000 level; if it is effectively broken downward, look further toward 89,000.
As the market reaches a critical point, patience and discipline are even more necessary.
Keep the rhythm steady, prioritize risk management, and leave the rest to the market. #周末行情分析 #Gate广场创作者新春激励 #美联储降息 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH $SOL