Prediction markets are doing what Congress won’t. They’re pricing reality.Polymarket and Kalshi show 75 to 80 percent odds of a U.S. shutdown by Jan 31 as DHS funding stalls over ICE. Markets are wobbling. History says it ends fast.What’s slipping through the cracks right now is trust in the system’s ability to function under pressure.And that\'s what moves markets.
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Prediction markets are doing what Congress won’t. They’re pricing reality.Polymarket and Kalshi show 75 to 80 percent odds of a U.S. shutdown by Jan 31 as DHS funding stalls over ICE. Markets are wobbling. History says it ends fast.What’s slipping through the cracks right now is trust in the system’s ability to function under pressure.And that\'s what moves markets.