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The United States will release the January unadjusted CPI year-over-year at 21:30 tonight (UTC +8). The previous value was 2.70%, with an expectation of 2.50%. Additionally, the January seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate will be announced, with a previous value of 0.3% and an expectation of 0.3%.
Goldman Sachs analyst Kay Haigh stated yesterday that they still believe the Federal Reserve has room for two more rate cuts this year. However, if the CPI released on Friday unexpectedly rises, it could lead the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, there is a 96% probability that the January unadjusted CPI year-over-year on Polymarket is less than or equal to 2.8%, with only a 2% chance of being 2.9% and a 2% chance of being 3.0%.