It's already good enough that there haven't been any issues during the New Year. Today, there is no further information from Trump or Iran. I’ve looked at some overseas reports and there isn’t much concern about this geopolitical conflict. Additionally, this shutdown only affects some departments of the Department of Homeland Security, so the impact is not significant. The biggest game of recent times is still Trump’s tariffs early Saturday morning. Currently, the Supreme Court’s approval rate for Trump’s tariffs is less than 25%.

If the tariffs are ruled illegal, there may be some short-term volatility, but in the long run, it could help reduce inflation and benefit the US economy. It might even help the Federal Reserve enter a rapid rate-cutting phase more quickly.

A rebound to around 2070-2095 could be a good point to short, and around 2143 could be a good point to add positions. The target could be set around 1900-1818.