Based on the market performance in February 2026, you can see that this pattern is very clear:
February 17 (Negotiation Results Announced): The US and Iran reach a consensus on the "Guiding Principles," signaling a thaw. Gold prices drop sharply, falling more than 2% in a single day, losing the $4,900 level. This is a typical case of "good news fully priced in" or "bad news fully realized."
February 23 (Negotiation Deadlock): As negotiations stall, risk aversion in the market reignites, and gold prices rally strongly, breaking through $5,170. This reflects "bad news fully priced in" or "deterioration of the situation" leading to safe-haven buying.
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Based on the market performance in February 2026, you can see that this pattern is very clear:
February 17 (Negotiation Results Announced): The US and Iran reach a consensus on the "Guiding Principles," signaling a thaw. Gold prices drop sharply, falling more than 2% in a single day, losing the $4,900 level. This is a typical case of "good news fully priced in" or "bad news fully realized."
February 23 (Negotiation Deadlock): As negotiations stall, risk aversion in the market reignites, and gold prices rally strongly, breaking through $5,170. This reflects "bad news fully priced in" or "deterioration of the situation" leading to safe-haven buying.