XRP – Gia Lai Forecast With Recovery Potential From Support Zone

Investors interested in XRP price forecasts are observing a market landscape characterized by a mix of optimism signals and selling pressure. As of the end of February 2026, Ripple (XRP) is trading at $1.36, reflecting a significant correction in recent weeks but not undermining the technical recovery potential that analysts are paying attention to.

Current XRP Market Data and Short-Term Price Outlook

XRP currently maintains a market capitalization of $82.74 billion with a 24-hour trading volume of $87.78 million, indicating liquidity remains stable despite a 2.52% price decline over the past 24 hours. This suggests that XRP’s future price predictions are still supported by technical buying demand, especially at lower price levels.

With a historical all-time high of $3.65 in 2025, the drop from $1.61 last week to the current $1.36 indicates the market is testing key support zones. Traders are monitoring major support levels around $1.36–$1.50, where historical data shows potential for a rebound.

Factors Influencing XRP Price Predictions

XRP’s future outlook depends on several fundamental factors:

  • Regulatory Clarity: Progress in regulatory policies for cryptocurrencies in general and XRP specifically remains the most critical catalyst. Favorable news from regulators could trigger a strong breakout.

  • Institutional Adoption and RWA: Expansion into real-world assets (RWA) markets and increased institutional investment in XRP represent the main long-term growth pathways for the token’s utility.

  • Supply Dynamics: Controlled depletion of XRP supply on the market could exert upward price pressure if demand increases.

  • Broader Market Momentum: Bitcoin’s performance, overall crypto market sentiment, and macroeconomic factors create the environment for short-term XRP forecasts.

Technical Analysis and Short-Term Predictions

Looking at technical charts, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the 33–41 range, indicating oversold conditions—a historically bullish sign for price recovery. Data from analysis platforms show:

  • Key Support Levels: $1.36 (current support), $1.50 (strong support), with the Bollinger Band middle at $2.01 serving as an intermediate target.

  • Near Resistance: $1.85 (immediate resistance), $1.95 (strong resistance). Breaking these levels could open a 10–20% short-term rally.

CoinCodex predicts XRP will trade between $1.84 and $2.96 throughout 2026, with an average price of $2.21—representing a 62% increase from current levels. If XRP maintains momentum above $1.50 over the coming weeks, the outlook suggests a potential break above $1.95 and toward the Bollinger Band middle at $2.20.

DigitalCoinPrice offers a more conservative forecast, estimating XRP will reach around $1.88 by the end of February, indicating slight stability before a significant move.

Long-Term Outlook: Price Targets and Scenarios

When considering long-term forecasts, analysts present various scenarios:

Base Scenario: 21Shares, a leading asset management firm, projects XRP will reach $2.45 by the end of 2026, an 80% increase from the current $1.36. This forecast assumes regulatory stability and growth in real-world asset applications.

Bullish Scenario: Under more optimistic conditions, with RWA adoption accelerating and supply exhaustion, 21Shares estimates $2.69, nearly a 97% rise.

Polymarket Analysis indicates a high probability XRP will hit $2.60 before January 2027, based on favorable regulatory developments. This supports a relatively positive long-term outlook.

Decisive Viewpoint: Analyst Dominic Basulto has issued a particularly bullish forecast, predicting XRP could double to $4.00 by the end of 2026 if the global crypto market remains strong and XRP breaks major resistance levels.

Cautious Estimate: Some analysts expect more modest gains, projecting a long-term target of around $2.05 by year-end 2026, a 50% increase.

The convergence of these forecasts suggests a consensus target between $2.45 and $2.69, with potential upside toward $2.96–$4.00 if fundamental catalysts accelerate.

Risks and Uncertainties to Watch

XRP’s long-term forecast carries notable risks:

  • Regulatory Decisions: Adverse policies from authorities could trigger sharp sell-offs, breaking current support levels.

  • Technical Gaps: The significant distance between the current price ($1.36) and the 200-day SMA (~$2.54) represents a major resistance hurdle.

  • Broader Crypto Market Sentiment: Weaknesses in Bitcoin, shifts in dominance among major coins, or macroeconomic headwinds could limit XRP’s upside.

  • Competition: Ongoing development of competing blockchain projects offering payment solutions could pressure Ripple’s market share.

  • Market Volatility: Although the current ATR (Average True Range) is only $0.08–$0.09 daily, a breakout could lead to wider swings.

A breakdown below $1.36 could trigger a sell-off toward the psychological level of $1.25, though oversold conditions suggest limited downside risk for prolonged declines.

Conclusion: Investor Guidance on Long-Term Forecasts

While no one can predict the future with certainty, understanding XRP’s long-term outlook provides investors with a roadmap to navigate different scenarios. Technical setups indicate XRP is consolidating near potential support zones, with most analyst forecasts pointing toward targets of $2.45–$2.69 by the end of 2026 under the baseline scenario and upward potential.

This long-term outlook hinges on regulatory clarity, growth in RWA applications, and a market sentiment rebound. Investors should monitor support zones at $1.36–$1.50 and resistance levels at $1.85–$1.95 to time entries or exits, while managing risk with appropriate stop-loss orders.

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