Hershey reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3 billion, beating consensus estimates, despite a significant drop in gross margin due to cocoa inflation. While the company raised its dividend, its valuation model suggests an 8% annualized return to a $278 target by 2028, which falls below the standard 10% equity hurdle rate due to underlying risks in margin recovery and cocoa costs. Investors are advised to consider whether the 2026 margin recovery is already priced into the stock ahead of the upcoming Investor Day.
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Hershey Beats Q4 Earnings With $3 Billion in Revenue: What a $278 Target Means for Investors
Hershey reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3 billion, beating consensus estimates, despite a significant drop in gross margin due to cocoa inflation. While the company raised its dividend, its valuation model suggests an 8% annualized return to a $278 target by 2028, which falls below the standard 10% equity hurdle rate due to underlying risks in margin recovery and cocoa costs. Investors are advised to consider whether the 2026 margin recovery is already priced into the stock ahead of the upcoming Investor Day.