On the Polymarket website, the market probability of the CLARITY Act passing before 2026 has plummeted from 90% to 55%, reflecting a deadlock in Senate negotiations. The core dispute remains over stablecoin incentives, with banks worried that high-yield products could lead to massive deposit losses. The White House's proposal to ban earning interest on idle balances has narrowed the gap between banks and cryptocurrency companies, but with the March 1 deadline approaching, no clear compromise has been reached.