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February 25 Gold and Silver Rise: Core Logic
1. Geopolitical Tensions (Main Catalyst)
Market concerns over escalating US-Iran tensions
Are the direct trigger for today’s rally
Funds, seeking safety
Flood into traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver
2. US Tariff Increase to 15%
Triggers global trade war fears
Amplifies economic outlook uncertainties, boosting safe-haven demand for precious metals
Main Bearish Logic
A. Risks of easing geopolitical tensions
US, Iran, and other countries achieve substantive progress through diplomatic channels
Safe-haven sentiment quickly cools down
B. Profit-taking pressure on the bulls:
After continuous rapid gains, the market has accumulated a large amount of profit-taking positions
Once the upward momentum slows
It easily triggers concentrated profit-taking among long positions
Leading to a rapid price pullback