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Major Events in the Cryptocurrency World
1. After the escalation of Middle East tensions over the weekend, market risk appetite weakened, with funds clearly flowing into safe-haven assets like gold and US Treasuries; this also prompted some investors to revisit Bitcoin's safe-haven properties.
2. ETF capital flows have become the core factor in short-term pricing, with attention on ETF inflows and outflows.
3. This week features dense macroeconomic data, and risk assets should be prepared for a "second wave" of volatility.
Mainstream Asset Trend Analysis
Bitcoin is currently oscillating between 65,142 and 68,128, showing a pattern of "rising sharply then pulling back into consolidation"; the retracement suggests short-term bullish momentum remains unstable. Key support levels: 65,100–65,000 (if broken, a test of lower regions is likely); resistance levels: 68,100–68,800 (only a sustained rebound above this can extend the rally). Short-term strategy: focus on Bollinger Band 1-hour interval trading; closely monitor ETF net inflows—if they do not continue, expect consolidation and increased risk of chasing highs.
Ethereum's trading range is 1,910–2,048; weaker than previous rebound highs, mainly following Bitcoin's retracement and consolidation. Key support zone: 1,880–1,910; resistance zone: 2,050–2,130. Short-term approach: if Bitcoin holds above 65k, consider short-term longs around 1,910; if approaching 2,050, Ethereum may see a larger retracement if Bitcoin drops below 65k. Strict stop-losses are essential.
Gold's core driver: escalation of Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven buying. The market generally expects gold prices to be more prone to rise than fall in the short term, but volatility can quickly increase with news. Focus points: if US employment/ISM data this week are strong, they could boost the dollar and real interest rates, putting short-term pressure on gold; conversely, if risk events continue to escalate, gold is more likely to remain strong.
Today’s Trading Opportunities
Hold long positions and wait-and-see.