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Major Events in the Cryptocurrency World
1. After the Middle East situation escalated over the weekend, market risk appetite weakened, and funds clearly shifted into safe-haven assets like gold and US Treasuries; this also prompted some investors to revisit Bitcoin's safe-haven properties.
2. ETF capital flows have become the core factor in short-term pricing, with attention on ETF inflows and outflows.
3. This week features dense macroeconomic data, and risk assets should be cautious of "secondary volatility."
Analysis of Mainstream Assets
Bitcoin is currently oscillating between 65,142 and 68,128, showing a pattern of "rising sharply then pulling back and consolidating"; the retracement suggests short-term bullish momentum remains unstable. Key support levels: 65,100–65,000 (if broken, it may test lower regions), resistance levels: 68,100–68,800 (a sustained hold above is needed for a rebound extension). Short-term strategy: focus on Bollinger Band 1-hour range trading; monitor whether ETF net inflows continue—if not, expect consolidation and high risk in chasing highs.
Ethereum's trading range is 1,910–2,048; it underperforms previous rebound highs and mostly follows Bitcoin's retracement and consolidation. Key support zone: 1,880–1,910; resistance zone: 2,050–2,130. Short-term strategy: if Bitcoin holds above 65k, ETH is more suitable for short-term longs around 1,910; if it approaches 2,050, and Bitcoin drops below 65k, ETH's retracement could be more significant, so strict stop-loss is essential.
Gold's core driver: escalation of Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven buying. The market generally expects gold prices to be difficult to fall in the short term but volatile as news spreads. Focus points: if US employment/ISM data this week are strong, boosting the dollar and real interest rates, gold may face short-term pressure; conversely, if risk events continue to escalate, gold is more likely to remain strong today.
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