In recent trading sessions, markets aren’t reacting to noise, they’re reacting to uncertainty with a timeline. There’s a difference.
The situation between the U.S. and Iran has moved beyond quick headlines. When talk shifts toward operations lasting weeks, traders stop treating it as a one-day shock. They start pricing in what happens if this drags.
Oil is the lever. A large chunk of global supply moves through the Strait of Hormuz. If that flow looks unstable, crude doesn’t wait for confirmation, it moves. And when oil moves, everything connected to inflation and interest rates starts shifting with it.
That’s why crypto has felt heavy. In moments where liquidity feels fragile, markets don’t debate fundamentals, they reduce exposure. Bitcoin absorbs pressure because it’s liquid. Altcoins amplify it because they’re volatile.
But here’s the other side of that coin: when risk is removed, even partially, assets can snap back faster than they fell.
If a ceasefire is announced, the tension built into energy prices could unwind quickly. And if oil cools, inflation pressure cools with it. That’s the setup where digital assets breathe again.
Based on current structure, here’s what DeepSeek AI sees for XRP and Solana if that scenario plays out.
Ripple’s XRP Chart Breakdown
The XRP price has been in a sustained downtrend since topping above $3 earlier in the cycle. On the daily chart, XRP keeps making lower highs and lower lows. That’s a simple way of saying the trend is still down.
The 200-day moving average is around $2.20 to $2.30, and it’s still pointing lower. XRP is trading at $1.35, well under that line. So the bigger picture hasn’t turned yet.
After the sharp drop in February, XRP found some support between $1.20 and $1.40. For now, that area is holding.
RSI is around 39–40. That shows momentum is weak, but it’s not deeply oversold. There’s still space for a bounce if mood in the market improves.
The first hurdle on the way up is between $1.70 and $1.85. Above that, the $2.00 to $2.20 zone is the bigger level to watch. That area lines up with the falling 200-day average and would be a key level to reclaim.
Source: TradingView.com
DeepSeek AI: XRP Price Relief Bounce Scenario
If tensions calm down and money starts moving back into altcoins, DeepSeek AI sees XRP rising into the $1.70 to $2.20 range.
With the XRP price around $1.35 now, that would mean roughly a 26% to 63% move up.
The $1.70 to $1.85 area was a tough spot before, where price stalled. The $2.00 to $2.20 zone is even more important. Getting back above that could change the short-term mood around XRP.
For XRP to move above $2.20 and stay there, it would likely need the whole crypto market pushing higher, not just good news about a ceasefire.
Source: Deepseek AI
Solana Chart Breakdown
Solana’s chart shows a similar corrective structure. After peaking above $240 earlier in the cycle, the SOL price entered a steady downtrend. Lower highs and declining moving averages confirm broader weakness.
Price flushed into the high-$70s before stabilizing around the $83–$85 region. That zone is acting as short-term support. The SOL price is trading at $83.88.
The 200-day moving average sits well above current price near the $110–$115 region. That area now acts as long-term resistance.
RSI is near the low-40s. Momentum has cooled significantly but is not deeply oversold. Like XRP, SOL has room to move if macro pressure eases.
First resistance sits near $93–$100. Above that, the $110–$115 region becomes the major decision zone.
Source: TradingView.com
DeepSeek AI: Solana Recovery Scenario
If U.S.–Iran tensions subside and macro risk appetite improves, DeepSeek AI projects Solana could recover toward the $93 to $115 range.
From the current price near $83.88, that represents roughly an 11% to 37% increase.
The $93 to $100 area is the first big level in the way. If the Solana price breaks above that cleanly, it could move faster toward $110 to $115. That area mattered before and now acts as resistance, and it also lines up with the 200-day moving average.
To move above $115 and stay there, the whole crypto market would likely need to keep pushing higher, not just react to short-term ceasefire news.
_****Bittensor Price Prediction: How High Can TAO Go in March If the AI Flywheel Kicks In?**
Source: Deepseek AI
Right now, markets are trading the risk of escalation. Oil is the transmission channel. Liquidity is the core driver.
If conflict expands, crypto likely remains under pressure. If a ceasefire is announced, relief could be sharp and fast.
The XRP price would likely deliver a higher-percentage bounce. Solana could see a cleaner technical recovery into major resistance zones.
In moments like this, markets don’t wait for certainty, they reposition on probability.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
