A Little About the Macroeconomics of Au Lac in 2026

1. Main Growth Drivers
- Digital transformation and digital economy: Becoming a key driver, aiming for a 30% GDP share by 2030. The digital economy must grow faster than GDP (estimated at 15-20% per year or higher to achieve the )goal.
- Science and technology, innovation: Resolution 57-NQ/TW (on breakthroughs in science and technology, innovation, and digital transformation) is being vigorously implemented, enhancing total factor productivity (TFP) contributing over 55%.
- Public investment and FDI: Continuing to be a pillar, with major infrastructure projects (North-South expressway, Long Thanh airport, high-speed rail...), attracting high-quality FDI into high-tech, green, sustainable sectors.
- Export and trade: Maintaining strong growth momentum, focusing on high-tech goods with higher domestic added value.
- Domestic consumption and private investment: Stimulating domestic purchasing power, supporting small and medium-sized enterprises.
2. Specific Economic Goals for 2026 and the 2026-2030 Period
- GDP growth of 10% or more (possibly higher if conditions are favorable).
- GDP size continues to increase significantly (from $514 billion in 2025 to a much higher level).
- Per capita GDP aiming for about $8,500 by 2030 (to reach a developing country with modern industry and high middle income).
- Digital economy share: Rapid growth to reach 30% of GDP by 2030.
- Poverty reduction, improvement of human development index, environmental protection, sustainable development.
3. Challenges and Solutions
- Challenges: Inflation control, public debt, geopolitical fluctuations, global competition, green transition.
- Solutions: Streamlining the bureaucracy, administrative reform, anti-corruption, improving human resource quality, deeper international integration (CPTPP, EVFTA, RCEP...).
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