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Every time US CPI dropped over the past year, Bitcoin reacted strongly.
March 2025 → Rebound from $76K
May 2025 → Rally past $90K
Dec 2025 → Push toward $95K
Early 2026 → Market stabilizes
Today’s CPI print is expected at 2.4%, the same as last month.
At first glance that may look neutral.
But zoom out for a second.
Over the last 6 months inflation has steadily cooled from 3.0% → 2.4%, bringing it dangerously close to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
That trend matters more than a single monthly number.
Those green zones on the chart show a clear pattern.
Lower inflation → less pressure on the Fed → higher probability of rate cuts.
And liquidity expectations are what crypto markets front-run.
Even if CPI comes in flat at 2.4% today, it still confirms something important.
Inflation is not re-accelerating.
That keeps the door open for Fed easing later this year.