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"Extremes reverse" – this natural law applies equally to financial markets.
In the tweet from March 2nd, we saw the "Investor Confidence Index" reach an uncommonly seen "extreme negative value."
Historically, whenever market sentiment has fallen to such a degree, what follows is either a rebound rally or the market is actually not far from the bear bottom.
Although we still don't know today whether the current situation falls into the latter category, at least we've seen the "rebound."
Meanwhile, the confidence index continues to move closer to the zero axis over time. Once it breaks above the zero axis, it signals the end of the bear market.
We can make a rough calculation: if there are no unexpected disruptions thereafter, at the average pace of the last 10 days, it will take approximately 47 days to return to the zero axis!
I know such calculations may hold no practical significance. Because often "if nothing goes wrong, something will go wrong..."
But it can give us a bit of confidence:
In the world of Bitcoin, there is never permanent darkness!
When the first ray of sunlight tears through the darkness, the fog will eventually dissipate. $BTC