This pullback is actually not surprising at all.

We already laid out the momentum clearly last week—around 76,000 was the phase target level to begin with;
The market hit exactly 75,998 this morning and then quickly retreated, with 2,000 points of space—basically the market cashing in on sentiment;
What truly determines the direction of this rally is still the Fed's interest rate decision this time. If the dot plot confirms fewer rate cuts and delayed timing, then the high-rate environment will continue to suppress risk assets;
If oil prices continue holding at elevated levels and inflation pressure doesn't ease, the Fed naturally won't dare pivot easily;
Once a chain reaction forms, volatility in risk assets will only intensify.
Short-term, after the rate decision lands, there will likely be a wave of sentiment rebound, but sustainability needs careful consideration;
BTC's resistance above 78k-79k remains strong, and breaking through in one shot isn't realistic;
Medium-term, if rate cuts continue to be pushed back, the market's overall structure will still lean toward consolidation and weakness;
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