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Bought some positions on US military entering Iran before December 31st, expecting to get out around mid-April at most. If there's no result, I'll take the loss.
1️⃣ Marine Corps arrives around 3.26. If military action is to happen, it would likely be late March to early April timeframe.
2️⃣ Iran's high-level negotiators have basically been taken out one by one. Their petrochemical facilities just got hit again, so they'll likely retaliate. The US can't give up its Middle East influence but can't get good terms either. Both sides seem inclined to escalate.
3️⃣ Late March is already at 32%, so December at 64% seems undervalued. Even if they decide not to strike, December provides a long enough window for stop-loss.