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From today’s #FED projections & statement:
Rates: held steady
Cuts: only ~1 cut in 2026
#Inflation: higher 2.7%
Slightly hawkish / restrictive.
$BTC reaction (already happening)
Initial move: small bounce after decision
Real direction decided during Powell Q&A
What matters RIGHT NOW (during Q&A)
Markets are listening for 3 things:
Inflation framing
#Oil / persistent inflation is hawkish
temporary manageable is dovish tilt
If he signals:
Cuts uncertain thats risk-off
Cuts still likely then risk-on
Weak growth + high inflation = worst case for #BTC