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Fed Rate Decision Incoming—Bitcoin and Ethereum About to Move!
2 AM Fed Rate Decision, 2:30 AM Powell Press Conference—Direct impact on crypto market direction.
Market Consensus: Interest rates held steady at 3.5%-3.75%, zero probability of rate cuts.
Focus on Two Key Points: Dot Plot rate cut projections + Powell's remarks
- December last year expected 1 rate cut in 2026; this time critical to see if revised to 0 or 2 cuts.
- Hawkish (0 rate cuts + inflation stickiness/data-dependent): Liquidity tightens, USD and Treasury yields strengthen, crypto faces short-term downside, likely decline then consolidate.
- Dovish (1+ rate cuts + release rate cut signals): USD and Treasury yields decline, capital flows back to risk assets, crypto poised for rebound and rally.
Watch for Key Phrases:
Inflation stickiness, data-dependent = Hawkish
Rate cut conditions mature = Dovish
Tonight's market action hinges on these two signals.
$BTC $ETH