💎 BTC/ETH Evening Strategy | Pre-NFP Night, Market Waits for Direction

📊 Non-Farm Payrolls Preview (Tonight at 20:30)

Tonight, the US March Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released, with the market generally expecting about 60,000 new jobs (previously -92,000), and the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4%.

⚠️ Special Background:

Non-Farm Payrolls coincides with Good Friday, when US stock markets are closed, making crypto the only market reacting in real-time, which could amplify volatility.

FTX’s $2.2 billion repayment funds have been gradually arriving, some may flow back into the crypto market.

📈 Three Scenario Analysis:

Data Performance | Market Reaction | BTC Impact
Exceeds Expectations (>100K) | Cooling of rate cut expectations | Downward pressure, testing 65-66k
Moderate Rebound (60K-100K) | Meets expectations | Narrow fluctuations, waiting for direction
Below Expectations (<30K or negative) | Rate cut expectations increase | Bullish rebound, aiming for 70k+

🔥 BTC Evening Strategy

Current Price: About $68,600

Key Levels:

Support: 67,400 → 66,000 (break below accelerates)

Resistance: 68,800-69,000 → 70,000 (psychological level)

Trading Suggestions:

✅ Before Data: Mainly observe, light positions for speculation

✅ If data underperforms: Stand firm at 68.8k, consider light long positions, target 70k-72.6k

❌ If data exceeds expectations: Break below 67.4k, reduce positions; if below 66k, strictly stop-loss

🔥 ETH Evening Strategy

Current Price: About $2,130

Key Levels:

Support: 2,070 → 2,000 (key psychological level)

Resistance: 2,160-2,180 → 2,200

Trading Suggestions:

✅ Before Data: Treat the 2,070-2,160 range cautiously

✅ If data underperforms: Hold steady at 2,160, look toward 2,200-2,400

❌ If data exceeds expectations: If below 2,000, strictly stop-loss; below that, watch for 1,950

📌 Core Reminder

Market sentiment remains in “Extreme Fear” (Fear & Greed Index only 7), making rebounds fragile

ETF net outflows continue, institutional demand remains weak

Control leverage, consider the holiday effect on NFP, volatility may exceed expectations

Tonight’s data will set the direction, manage your positions well, and wait for the wind!$BTC ‌$ETH ‌