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Last week, ETH experienced a volume-driven increase, outperforming BTC by nearly 0.9 percentage points. Institutions like Bitmine have been continuously increasing their ETH holdings and staking large amounts for several days, and the Ethereum Foundation has staked tens of thousands of tokens within a month, indicating clear large capital inflows on the chain. However, there are differing views on ETF capital flows: a net outflow at the end of March, followed by a net inflow on April 1, suggesting that institutions have not yet formed a unified directional consensus. Technical analysis current situation:
• 15-minute and 4-hour CCI, WR are both in overbought zones
• 4-hour MACD shows bearish divergence (price makes new highs but volume decreases)
• The daily chart remains in a bearish arrangement; this rebound is a structure above the daily stop-loss line
• Short-term support at 2082, resistance at 2168
For long positions, the order placement strategy (waiting for a pullback to enter):
• Entry zone: 2082 - 2100 (near the 24-hour low plus 15-minute MA120 support)
• Stop-loss: below 2065, under the daily SAR
• Target: 2167 previous high; if the previous high is not broken, hold a small position for a short (waiting for bearish divergence to play out)
For short positions (waiting for a top divergence to realize):
• Entry zone: 2160 - 2170 (near the 24-hour high resistance plus 4-hour MACD divergence zone)
• Be cautious with position sizing and set stop-losses for upward breakouts.
The above is only my personal analysis and does not constitute investment advice.