U.S.-Iran Ultimatum (Tonight at 8 PM Eastern Time)

Trump: If Iran doesn't surrender, we will bomb Iranian bridges and power plants
Iran: Refuses a temporary ceasefire, seeking a permanent end to the conflict
→ Big moves in the market tonight are set to explode—once the news hits, the trend will reverse

2. The Federal Reserve firmly locks in no rate cuts
Wells Fargo / Citigroup: No rate cuts in 2026 / delayed until after September
Officials turn hawkish: With inflation staying high, there may be additional rate hikes
CME: Probability of a rate cut in June ≈ 0%
→ Medium-term bearish for risk assets tied to higher rates, as high interest rates pressure risk assets

3. On-chain + Order book
BTC: Around 68,500, spikes then pulls back
24h liquidations: $920 million, longs account for 78%
Whales: Net reduce holdings by 820 coins; retail enters, big players run
→ Short-term bearish, extreme volatility—be cautious about chasing highs #特朗普再下最后通牒 #加密市场行情震荡 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌