"Don't use the sword of the previous dynasty to slay the officials of the current one."

A fellow trader questioned me: giving the same strategy on the same day, sometimes going long, sometimes going short, calling me inconsistent, as if I haven't finished speaking. Today I’ll clarify the underlying logic—it's not that I’m inconsistent, but that the cycle has different dimensions.
First, establish a fundamental premise: the market itself has no absolute certainty; technical analysis is just finding patterns in historical traces, so trading is a game of probabilities.

A one-minute trend fluctuation, when viewed in a 15-minute cycle, is just an ordinary candlestick.
Different cycles have their own independent trend directions, with completely different reference points and decision weights. So when you hear words like "trend," "rebound," "reversal," your first reaction should be to ask: which cycle does it belong to? Instead of applying a single standard to all market conditions.
Recently, everyone has been following community trader Li Ge to do ultra-short rebounds and has taken profits; but if I ask you to use ultra-short, quick-in quick-out tactics to build medium- and long-term positions, would you dare to do it? Probably not.
Goals determine methods; methods match cycles. Different cycles have their own unique narratives. First, think clearly about which cycle you want to trade and which profit segment you aim for, then choose the appropriate strategy.

So don’t use the sword of the previous dynasty to slay the officials of the current one.

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