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Been tracking some interesting on-chain signals lately, and the bitcoin price prediction for 2025 cycle is looking pretty compelling. Since July, we've been seeing consistent demand growth around 62,000 BTC per month according to the data I'm watching. This actually mirrors what happened in Q4 of 2020, 2021, and 2024 before prices really took off.
The big money is definitely moving in. Large holders are accumulating at an annualized pace of 331,000 BTC, which is stronger than what we saw at the start of Q4 2024. ETFs also grabbed 213,000 BTC in that period, a 71% jump. When you combine whale activity with institutional buying like that, it usually signals something's brewing.
Here's the thing though - all this demand only matters if we can break through key resistance. The critical level I'm watching is around $116,000. If bitcoin decisively moves above that on the price prediction charts, we're looking at a proper bull phase setup with potential targets between $160,000 and $200,000. The Bull Score Index is hovering between 40-50 right now, which historically marks when things start getting interesting.
Last year we saw a similar setup at the start of Q4 before BTC surged from $70K to $100K. The pattern looks eerily similar now with demand already strengthening. Obviously nothing's guaranteed, but the confluence of whale accumulation, ETF inflows, and these cycle indicators is worth paying attention to. Definitely monitoring how this plays out into year-end.