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It’s not guaranteed that Bitcoin will go up every single day. Here’s how I see it: BTC has just returned to touch what I consider the true fundamental support line — the one that has held since March 2023 without interruption. After 766 days of monitoring, finally at the end of 2025, the price has tested this long-term trendline again. It’s a move I’ve been waiting for.
During almost the entire bullish cycle that just ended, Bitcoin moved above a secondary trendline, the expansion one. A structure that held for quite a while. Then, when the price broke through the resistance and abandoned this secondary trend, the return to the primary trendline was natural, almost expected. For me, it’s always the same sequence: expansion, breakout, return to the middle level, verification of the original support. A very orderly market behavior.
Looking at history, the two previous times Bitcoin tested this trendline were preludes to significant rallies. Now we’re back there again, and for several months, the support has held. I don’t see this as a negative signal; quite the opposite. It’s a point I’m watching carefully because it could be meaningful. The 766-day cycle has taught us that these levels must be respected.