Understanding the change in market sentiment is very important in macroeconomics. (Buy forecast

Sell on fact)
- Good news is good news, bad news is bad news (normal market situation)
Future expectations and policy expectations are in line with each other, and there is no change in future expectations.
Example: The market expects a 50 basis point increase, and the actual increase is also 50 basis points.
- The bad news is good news, and the good news is bad news (market expectations and
Policy expectations are the opposite, changes in future expectations)
Example: Increase in unemployment rate (bad news), decrease in probability of interest rate hike (good news), strong non-farm data (good news), possibility of further interest rate hikes increases (bad news)
- Good news is good news, and bad news is also good news (the market has improved).
After the fall, all the unfavorable information is gone)
For example: The market experienced a big dump during the 618 event in the 22nd year, and then the market started to rebound. In June, the CPI reached 9.1% (bad news), but it means that inflation has peaked (good news).
- The good news is bad news, and the bad news is also bad news (the market has risen).
After rising, all the favorable information is exhausted)
For example, inflation is high, and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by only 25 basis points in March 2022.
After the rebound, it continued to fall.
Besides these, another important aspect of trading is the anticipation in advance.
Prediction of the impact time and impact magnitude for subsequent events.
#目前应该抄底还是继续等待？你的看法是？