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Nowadays, if we want to make money, we should focus on timing and value as a secondary factor, and take a look at the global economic situation 👇
1. The global economy is slowing down, and it is unbalanced
After 2023, the momentum of the global economy will continue to decline, and although the global supply chain continues to recover, the production boom will gradually decline, and the role of domestic demand in driving the economy will gradually weaken. In terms of sub-regions, it mainly presents a rise pattern of "strong in the United States and Japan, weak in Europe and emerging economies in the Asia-Pacific region". Looking ahead to the next five years, the world economy is expected to rise at a low speed, and the entire world economy is in extreme uncertainty and fragility.
2. International trade relations are politicized, and global trade growth slows down.
In recent years, global trade has been given a strong political color. Some developed economies in the West are increasingly keen to view international economic and trade relations from the perspective of geopolitics and national security, and they advocate economic security threats both domestically and internationally. The intensification of great power competition is a long-term trend, and some countries will continue to take a series of trade restriction measures to protect their domestic markets. However, this protectionist tendency has made the trade environment more complex and uncertain, exacerbating the risks of global trade friction and hindering the development of global trade.
3. Strong inflation resilience, high interest rate time may exceed expectations
Government intervention in the economy, frequent geopolitical conflicts, and an increase in unfavorable supply factors such as deglobalization have led to a smaller short-term space for the Fed to cut interest rates, which means that this round of inflation will last longer. High inflation corresponds to high interest rates, bringing immense pressure to the global economy. As global financial conditions tighten and trade rise weakens, the impact of declining confidence on businesses and consumers