Track real-time hotspots in the currency circle, seize the best trading opportunities, today is Thursday, February 20, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, coin friends ☀ hardcore fan check-in 👍 like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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The overnight U.S. stock market remained calm, with the three major indices steadily rising. All three indices closed slightly higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.24%, hitting a new high; the Dow rose 0.16%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.07%. Intel fell more than 6%, Palantir fell by about 10%, marking the largest single-day drop since August last year. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's January monetary policy meeting released early in the morning showed that all participants believed that maintaining the target interest rate unchanged was appropriate. If the economy is strong, policy can be maintained at a restrictive level. Some participants mentioned that potential changes in trade and immigration policies could impede the process of inflation falling; several participants indicated that the risks of achieving the inflation target are greater than those of achieving the employment target; overall, inflation risks are skewed to the upside. The vast majority of participants judged that the risks facing the dual mandate goals were essentially balanced. However, according to CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in March is 97.5%, with a 2.5% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in May is 88.9%, with a cumulative 10.8% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 0.2% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut. News and narratives are often the biggest factors determining the direction of the market. In the future, close attention needs to be paid to changes in the news!
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The Bitcoin trend yesterday was as exciting as a roller coaster ride. In the morning, it rose strongly from the low of 93330, climbing all the way to the high of 95930, showing strong upward momentum. Afternoon prices retraced to around 95016 and stabilized after hitting a low, then began a oscillating upward trend, with bullish forces continuously attempting to break through. In the evening, Bitcoin touched a high of 96666, encountered strong resistance, and quickly fell back to a low of 95389. As of now, Bitcoin has shown a strong V-shaped reversal, reaching a peak of 96934. Although the overall trend of Bitcoin prices is rising, the continuous shrinkage of trading volume is sounding an alarm. In the past week, Bitcoin trading volume has decreased by about 15% compared to the same period last month, a significant change that clearly indicates the gradual exhaustion of upward momentum in the market. From the current structure, the 1-hour timeframe is still in a rebound phase, with intense competition between bulls and bears in the short term. Bulls encounter obstacles when exerting strength, and bears also struggle to form effective volume for a downward trend, leading to an overall stalemate. In the future, it is crucial to focus on the key resistance level of 97000 above. In terms of trading strategy, it is advisable to wait for the weakening of short-term rebound momentum before making a wise decision.
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Ethereum's intraday trend shows a unilateral upward trend, with prices soaring all the way to a high of 2735, and the bullish momentum is strong. However, the price came under pressure in the evening and fell to a low of 2676, abruptly ending the upward trend. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands exert obvious pressure on the price, and Ethereum once again staged a high and then fell back after the inertia. Although Ethereum's price rebound has touched the resistance level, it has not been able to achieve an effective breakthrough, and the risk of retracement remains high. However, from a short-term 4-hour perspective, after consecutive bullish candlesticks, the coin price briefly stabilized above the middle track, and the indicator in the attached chart moved upward, showing the potential for further rebound in the short term. However, it is worth noting that the coin price is about to reach the upper boundary of the oscillation range. If it cannot break through this key resistance level, it is highly probable that it will come under pressure and continue to maintain a wide-ranging oscillation pattern. Given Ethereum's current oscillating and seesawing trend, investors can seize opportunities and look for opportunities to enter long positions at low points.
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The above content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is volatile, with huge investment risks. Investors must make decisions cautiously and invest rationally. #板块币种下跌，持有还是卖出？ #SOL走势分析 #多种加密货币ETF申请中