【Macro and encryption market focus this week】

1. Core Event Schedule
On March 3rd, Trump announced that BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA will be included in the United States' first official encryption strategic reserve plan.
March 7 encryption summit (hosted by Trump) + non-farm data (21:30)
● Other Important Schedule:
3/4 US-Canada tariffs take effect, Trump's congressional speech
3/5 US ADP employment data
3/6 Federal Reserve Beige Book + Unemployment Benefits
3/7 non-farm data, daylight saving time switch (shorten the time difference between China and the United States)
Two, Market Dynamics
1. Price movement: BTC rebounded from a slump to the $94,000 range, and market sentiment completed a 'extremely pessimistic → extremely optimistic' switch within 24 hours.
2. Options Market: IV rebounds across all maturities (At-the-money IV of the current month at 55%, short-term surges to 70%), suggesting deploying volatility strategies on dips
3. Interest Rate Market: The Bit platform remains stable, and it is recommended to pay attention to arbitrage opportunities during market fluctuations
III. Trading Window Prompt
This week forms a quadruple game space:
① encryption policy expectations (summit trends)
② Employment data game (non-farm + unemployment rate)
③ Central Bank Z Policy Signal (Fed/ECB)
④ Geopolitical tariff risks (North American trade policy)
Note: It is recommended to focus on the market linkage of the non-farm payroll on Friday, the encryption summit, and the progress of encryption reserves. The current sensitivity of the encryption market to macroeconomics has reached its peak since the 2022 LUNA event. Be cautious of the drastic fluctuations caused by the overlapping events.#币圈观察员