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📉【Accurate warning verification】3/3 ETH $2500 crash logic fully analyzed!
- Technical resonance triggers selling pressure, what is the next step for layout?
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Core logic replay:
1️⃣ EMA death cross warning: On the 4-hour chart of March 1st, EMA55 crossed below EMA144, forming a 'death cross.' This signal warned three days before the collapse of FTX in 2023.
2️⃣ TD sequence peaks: The daily TD Sequential shows a count of 13 (strong reversal signal), combined with RSI bearish divergence structure, indicating the accumulation of bearish momentum on the technical side.
3️⃣ Chain selling pressure surged: On March 2nd, the net inflow of CEX increased by 47%, and a giant whale address transferred 128,000 ETH to the exchange in a single day, setting the highest record since September 2024.
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Operation strategy and risk control advice
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Key support below:
Volume Profile 2175
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Volatility Alert: Deribit ETH options IV index breaks 85%, beware of secondary stampede caused by leverage liquidation
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Long strategy
Entry point: around 2240-2210, wait for short-term retracement support, buy signal appears, enter the trade
Stop loss: 2150, (small cycle reversal) stop loss close to 4%, reasonable operation
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Short selling strategy
Entry point: 2465 (CME futures gap + EMA21 dynamic resistance), stop loss 2510
Entry point: 2370 (expected resistance of the falling order block, stop loss point 2410
2350-2330 (Fibonacci short covering resistance), need to combine entry signal to determine whether to intervene
#ETH #加密货币峰会 #加密市场反弹
⚠️ Note: This article does not constitute investment advice, and a 2% mandatory stop loss should be set for contract operations.
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