# 国债

As for the CPI data, the market expected 3.6%-3.7%, indicating that the market expected inflation to remain unchanged or fall slightly, once the data exceeded expectations by 3.7%, the cryptocurrency market is likely to fall, and the impact is negligible if it meets expectations. In addition, in the case of 10-year U.S. Treasuries, there has been a decline from an interest rate perspective, and if the 10-year rate continues to fall, interest rates are likely to fall further.
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Unemployment is still very low, inflation is falling, and if Powell decides not to raise interest rates, we will have to wait until next year to cut interest rates, most likely in May next year. The yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has risen sharply. Due to the rise in interest rates, the U.S. dollar index is also strengthening. Although the current upward trend has slowed down, whether it continues to rise is also a point worth observing.
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There has also been talk of a recent squeeze called Santa Claus, a phenomenon that could occur at the end of the year, triggering a sharp rise in Bitcoin. The issuance of US Treasuries has decreased in the last three quarters, and the market's previous forecast was that the US will continue to issue Treasuries at the same pace, but now the pace of issuance has slowed, which will lead to a decrease in supply, which will reduce the pressure on interest rates to rise, which may lead to a decrease in interest rates, which will drive the performance of risk assets. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that

Part 6 of the ARK report mentions that the bond market, specifically the 10-year Treasury yield minus the 3-month Treasury yield, showed a back-to-day inversion, which reached an all-time high during the month of December. Historically, an inverted yield curve has been seen as a harbinger of a recession or even lower inflation. In addition, an inverted yield curve drops the incentive for banks to lend because it means that short-term lending intrerest rates are already higher than long-term loans, which is often seen as a negative signal in financial markets.
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As the Q2 earnings season draws to a close, companies reporting results this week include major retailers such as Wal-Mart and Home Depot. Although investors generally become more optimistic about the economic outlook, some investors are still concerned about the delayed impact of rising interest rates, and Remain vigilant for a recession, as indicators such as the U.S. Treasury yield curve continue to send red flags. Token unlocking situation: SAND unlocked 332.55 million tokens at 16:00 on August 14th, worth about 132 million US dollars, accounting for 16.16% of the circulating supply.
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In a recent interview, Fed Chair Jerome Powell made his position clear, making it clear that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which means providing low-cost funding and is a key factor for risk markets. The current economic performance is strong, the job market is stable, and the inflation rate is steadily declining, although inflation has not yet reached the expected target, but the Fed is satisfied with the current state of the economy. The U.S. government has already paid $1 trillion in interest on its national debt over the past year, and its cash flow is not abundant, and