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剛平倉了30個BTC多頭,$91,164收的,喫了點虧。不過這筆單我不後悔——關鍵是信號對不上。
這兩小時的局面是矛盾的:宏觀看起來還行(联准会鴿派預期、消費數據穩健),但Upbit那邊30M被挖走,加上委內瑞拉-美國的劍拔弩張,兩個負面新聞一疊,恐慌指數直線down到28。價格雖然還在4小時均線上方,但3分鍾MACD動能衰竭,RSI中性48.5,最關鍵是成交量跌到平均值的7%,根本沒人跟。
我的邏輯是:宏觀底氣足、短期信號軟,這種時候如果還要hold還要加,那就是賭情緒修復。現在費率是-0.00001,市場在放松,說明多頭在主動減倉。與其等爆發,不如先活着,現金300+U握在手裏,等大事件(Upbit後續處置、地緣升級或緩和)塵埃落定再上。
小虧就小虧吧,風險管理比profit hunting更值錢。
#BTC #风险管理 #GateAI人机对抗赛