比特幣ETF連五週流出38億鎂創紀錄!IBIT 狂被贖回 21 億,機構信心正崩塌?

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美國比特幣現貨 ETF 連續五週遭遇淨流出,累計失血近 38 億美元,為 2025 年 2 月以來最長連續贖回紀錄。其中,貝萊德旗下 IBIT 單一基金就佔了 21.3 億美元。在美伊緊張局勢、川普全球關稅與技術面疲軟的三重夾擊下,機構投資者正加速撤離。
(前情提要:比特幣今年前 50 個交易日下跌 23%,創歷史最差開局)
(背景補充:比特幣為何觸及10.3萬美元?本週百億爆倉引發ETF資金大撤出)

本文目錄

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  • IBIT 獨佔逾半流出量
  • 三大利空壓頂
  • 歷史對比:2025 年前車之鑑

美國比特幣現貨 ETF 已連續五週淨流出,累計金額逼近 38 億美元,創下自 2025 年 2 月以來最長的連續贖回紀錄。光是上週,就有約 3.16 億美元的資金從這些 ETF 中撤出。截至報導時間,比特幣報價約 64,977 美元,24 小時內下跌約 5%。

IBIT 獨佔逾半流出量

在所有比特幣現貨 ETF 中,貝萊德(BlackRock)旗下的 iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)受創最重,五週內淨流出高達 21.3 億美元,佔整體流出金額的逾 56%。這對於曾被譽為「史上最成功 ETF 發行」、上市首年就吸金超過 500 億美元的 IBIT 而言,無疑是一記警鐘。

報導指出,這波持續性的資金外流反映了機構在去年 10 月崩盤後對比特幣的持續戒慎,當時的交易所風險事件暴露了比特幣的脆弱性,至今仍影響著機構投資者的風險偏好。

三大利空壓頂

這波 ETF 失血可能歸因於三重壓力:

  • 地緣政治風險:美伊緊張局勢持續升溫,避險情緒籠罩市場。
  • 關稅政策衝擊:川普總統最新的全球關稅公告加劇了市場不確定性。
  • 技術面疲軟:比特幣價格圖表上的技術指標轉弱,進一步壓抑買盤意願。

歷史對比:2025 年前車之鑑

值得關注的是,2025 年 2 月也曾出現過類似的連續流出紀錄,但當時的規模更為慘烈——五週內共贖回約 50 億美元。更令投資者擔憂的是,那波流出之後,比特幣在 4 月初一度跌至 75,000 美元。

若歷史重演,當前的 38 億美元流出是否只是序曲,後續是否還有更大幅度的回調,將是市場接下來密切關注的焦點。

不過,也有分析師持不同看法。此前摩根大通曾指出,比特幣在「風險調整後的吸引力完勝黃金」,長期爆發力不容小覷。ETF 短期資金流向不必然反映長線機構的真實立場,部分流出可能只是對沖基金的戰術性調整,而非基本面的根本轉向。

免責聲明:本頁面資訊可能來自第三方,不代表 Gate 的觀點或意見。頁面顯示的內容僅供參考,不構成任何財務、投資或法律建議。Gate 對資訊的準確性、完整性不作保證,對因使用本資訊而產生的任何損失不承擔責任。虛擬資產投資屬高風險行為,價格波動劇烈,您可能損失全部投資本金。請充分了解相關風險,並根據自身財務狀況和風險承受能力謹慎決策。具體內容詳見聲明

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