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今日加密市場的核心,不是敘事,而是宏觀。
中東局勢推升油價,全球收益率上行,市場對美聯儲降息預期快速降溫,風險資產整體承壓。
BTC雖然重新站上7萬附近,但當前更像「高貝塔風險資產」,不是避險資產。
我的判斷:
7萬美元附近是短線情緒分水嶺
只要油價和收益率繼續上沖,反彈大概率先定義為技術性修復
真正的趨勢反轉,需要宏觀壓力緩解 + 政策/資金催化回歸
交易上,先看宏觀,再看敘事。
先看流動性,再看信仰。
#BTC #ETH #比特币 #加密市场 #宏觀交易